Discussion Q1 2025 Steam peak CCU prediction thread

Arc said:
Doom the Dark Ages CCUs are really soft.
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Damn, you are not wrong. I expected even with gamepass the game would have a massive hype and go over 100K easily, but that seems very unlikely even on sunday.
 
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I'm very interested to see what Fantasy Life ends up getting. The game has been high in the top sellers list since a day or two before the deluxe edition launched and user impressions are extremely positive. It seems like it's going to be a hit for Level-5.
 
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Roadcraft and Fantasy Life doing better than Doom wasn't on my bingo card.
 
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There is so much money left on the table for good "Animal Crossing Likes" on pc, just like Sims-like as we saw with Inzoi
 
Results so far

May 2025
game - guess/prediction - result
DOOM The Dark Ages - 100k - 31.5k
Capcom Fighting Collection 2 - 10k - 3.1k
Yasha: Legends of hte Demon Blade - 2k - 781
RoadCraft - 30k - 33.7k
Fantasy Life i - 2k - 65k
Monster Train 2 - 30k - 18.5k
Mobile Suit Gundam SEED Battle Destiny Remastered - 1k - 3k
 
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edin said:
Mobile Suit Gundam SEED Battle Destiny Remastered - 1k - 3k
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images
 
Nightreign did 313k in the end. I predicted 200k.
Fuga 3 was 193 oof. I predicted 1k.
 
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Wow, sex sells even more than I expected and Stella Blade is doing more than twice my estimate (100K against 42K) and it's not even weekend yet. Reviews are universally positive too. ShiftUP is probably quite happy. I wonder if the money from PC version is split between them and Sony? Since Sony is listed as publisher for the PC version too (so it is not like Death Stranding which had different PC publisher). If that is the case, then this is the most successful singleplayer Sony game on PC with quite some margin.
 
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